Would not surprise. Look at the coaches who have won a NC since 2000. Outside of Saban, Brown and Swinney. All coaches won it all within their first 4 seasons at each school. Pretty crazy stat imo.
2000 - Bob Stoops - 2nd season
2001 - Larry Coker - 1st season
2002 - Jim Ressel - 2nd season
2003 - Nick Saban - 4th season
2004 - Pete Carrol - 4th season
2005 - Mack Brown - 8th season
2006 - Urban Meyer - 2nd season
2007 - Les Miles - 3rd season
2008 - Urban Meyer - 4th season
2009 - Nick Saban - 3rd season
2010 - Gene Chizik - 2nd season
2011 - Nick Saban - 5th season
2012 - Nick Saban - 6th season
2013 - Jimbo Fisher - 4th season
2014 - Urban Meyer - 4th season
2015 - Nick Saban - 9th season
2016 - Dabo Swinney - 8th season
2017 - Nick Saban - 11th season
If I was a betting guy. I would be looking at schools like Michigan, USC, UGA, and Miami to make a splash. Unfortunately Nick Saban is the 00 on the roulette wheel for the house that has thrown it all off the last decade.